According to Mihir (@RhythmicAnalyst), crude oil experienced a pullback today but is now retesting the S1 breakout level, having recovered 40% of its intra-day loss (source: Twitter, June 16, 2025). The technical outlook remains bullish, suggesting continued upward pressure on inflation rates. For cryptocurrency traders, rising oil prices and inflation expectations can lead to increased volatility and renewed interest in inflation-hedge assets like BTC and ETH, potentially impacting crypto market sentiment and trading volumes.

According to @truflation, the Truflation index started May 2024 at 1.35% and jumped sharply to 2.06% by the end of the month, indicating a notable rise in inflation pressure. Truflation data often precedes official CPI releases by 1–2 reporting periods, suggesting that upcoming CPI numbers may also trend higher. For crypto traders, this early inflation uptick could impact Bitcoin and other digital assets, as investors may seek inflation hedges. Monitoring these inflation signals is crucial for anticipating potential volatility and positioning in the crypto market (Source: @truflation, Twitter, June 2024).

According to The Kobeissi Letter, US Treasury yields have surged to levels not seen since President Trump paused tariffs for 90 days in 2018. Despite recent trade agreements, yields remain elevated, signaling persistent inflationary pressures and tighter financial conditions (source: The Kobeissi Letter, May 14, 2025). This environment historically leads to increased risk-off sentiment, which can result in capital flowing out of risk assets like cryptocurrencies. Crypto traders should monitor yield trends closely, as sustained high yields could trigger further downside volatility in digital asset prices.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the US manufacturing input price index surged to approximately 65 points in March, marking the highest level in 31 months. Historically, a similar index level correlated with a Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation rate of 8.5%, the third-highest since the 1980s, indicating potential inflationary pressure. This data could influence trading strategies focused on inflation-sensitive assets.